USS Liberty in the wake of the June 1967 attack on the intelligence-gathering ship by Israel. - Sputnik International, 1920, 18.06.2025

© Photo : US Naval History and Heritage Command

Donald Trump is mulling whether or not to join Israel’s aggression against Iran as Tel Aviv faces problems sustaining its defenses against growing counterstrikes, and apparently lacks a realistic game plan for an end to hostilities after failing to achieve its goals. Analysts told Sputnik how the US could be ‘nudged’ into the conflict.

“The US is already assisting Israel with supplies, intel, refueling support, etc. One of the many US posts in the region could be attacked for a casus belli,” former Pentagon analyst Karen Kwiatkowski explained. “If Trump doesn’t comply with Israel’s demand” and joins its aggression voluntarily, “a false flag may be needed” to drag the US in, Kwiatkowski, retired US Air Force Lt. Col.-turned Iraq War whistleblower, fears.

Netanyahu has a diverse array of options at his disposal, according to the observer, including:

a false flag against US assets abroad blamed on Iran or one of its Axis of Resistance allies, like the Houthis

a US domestic attack or assassination blamed on Iran

Iranian air defenses ‘accidentally’ hit a civilian jetliner carrying Americans

use of a dirty bomb or nuclear contamination somewhere in the region blamed on Iran.

even blackmailing by threatening to use nukes against Iran if the US doesn’t join the fight

Kwiatkowski estimates that Israel probably has “enough blackmail power” against President Trump and Congress to avoid the necessity of a false flag operation, but a “USS Liberty-style” attack, targeting the soon-to-be-retired USS Nimitz supercarrier that’s heading to the Middle East, for example, nevertheless cannot be ruled out entirely, she says.

President Donald Trump points to a reporter as he answers questions during a news conference on Feb. 13, 2025, in Washington. - Sputnik International, 1920, 18.06.2025

Trump Says He May or May Not Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilities

Beirut-based geopolitics analyst Yeghia Tashjian agrees, emphasizing that Israel “has limited capabilities when it comes to destroying Iran’s nuclear infrastructure” (the stated goal of Operation Rising Lion), “especially the underground nuclear facilities.”

The same holds true for Israel’s lack of ability to independently deploy boots on the ground in Iran, which means no chance of “overwhelming victory” even if events go their way in the ongoing back and forth strikes.

Possible scenarios for a false flag imagined by Tashjian include “attacking US bases in Iraq…or a terror attack against US embassies in the region.”

Photograph taken from the U.S. Navy destroyer USS Maddox (DD-731) during her engagement with three North Vietnamese motor torpedo boats in the Gulf of Tonkin, 2 August 1964. The view shows one of the boats racing by, with what appears to be smoke from Maddox' shells in its wake. - Sputnik International, 1920, 02.08.2024

Americas

The Gulf of Tonkin Incident and the Art of American False Flags

2 August 2024, 13:34 GMT

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Iran Launches Super-Heavy Sejjil Missiles in Recent Attack on Israel

4 hours ago

Ответные удары Ирана по Израилю над Сирией - Sputnik International, 1920, 18.06.2025

© AP Photo

TEHRAN (Sputnik) – Iran used two-stage super-heavy ballistic missiles Sejjil in an attack on Israel on Wednesday evening, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said.

“The 12th wave of Operation True Promise 3 began with the launch of two-stage super-heavy long-range missiles Sejjil,” the IRGC said in a statement.

The IRGC “managed to disrupt Israeli air defense systems” and gain full control of Israeli airspace, the statement added.

Ответные удары Ирана по Израилю  - Sputnik International, 1920, 18.06.2025

World

Iran Launches New Wave of Missile Attacks on Israel

The targets of the Iranian strikes were Israeli intelligence sites and air bases.

“The missile attacks will be prolonged and effective. Like yesterday, we hit Mossad sites, military intelligence directorates, and army fighter air bases throughout the occupied territories,” the IRGC said in a statement.

Popular comments

Thank you Russia for supporting Iran

18 June, 21:34 GMT20

Bravo, Iran ! Good work !

LUCIAN-ION COJOCARU

18 June, 22:11 GMT18

AnalysisEnjoy in-depth, acute analysis of the most pressing local, regional and global trends at Sputnik!

Ex-CIA Insight: Larry Johnson Reveals What’s Really at Stake as Trump Mulls Iran Attack

5 hours ago (Updated: 5 hours ago)

- Sputnik International, 1920, 18.06.2025

© AP Photo

With Tehran refusing to fold in the face of US ultimatums and threats, Donald Trump is considering joining Israel’s campaign of aggression. Sputnik asked veteran ex-CIA and State Department insider Larry Johnson to make sense of the administration’s calculations, including what could be holding Trump back.

President Trump is vacillating on whether or not to move forward with the attack because he knows it would tank his ratings, including among Republicans, Johnson, a former CIA officer and State official, explained.

“There are public opinion polls showing that 53% of Republicans are against any attack on Iran. Overall, 61% of Americans are against any attack on Iran. There have been several individuals who were prominent supporters of Donald Trump in the election that have come out condemning him,” he noted.

- Sputnik International, 1920, 18.06.2025

World

Trump Says He May or May Not Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilities

8 hours ago

“I think the political realities are starting to catch up to Trump, which is why he’s now backing away from that,” Johnson said, pointing out that conservative voices sounding the alarm bell include Trump’s most prominent pre-election supporters, from political commentators Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens to comedian Dave Smith.

On top of that are the logistical uncertainties, like whether a US bunker buster bombing of the Fordow nuclear site would even work, and whether the B-2 bombers based in Diego Garcia used for such an operation would be safe if Russia were to supply Iran with systems capable of detecting and downing the stealth bomber.

Overall, it’s an “extremely dangerous, extremely volatile situation,” and one that clearly has “nothing to do with nuclear weapons,” Johnson stressed. Instead, it’s about “regime change” – an attempt “to install a government that’s going to be a lackey of the West and that will not cooperate or be friendly with Russia.”

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei - Sputnik International, 1920, 18.06.2025

World

Iran’s Supreme Leader: US Involvement in Israel-Iran Conflict Will Harm America More Than Iran


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